Regulation News

OBV is flashing the same kind of bullish divergence that led to a 57% rally in 2025, implying Bitcoin could tag $130K–$135K by summer. Whales seem to be stacking, macro’s still decent, but Mt. Gox and fading ETF inflows could wreck the party. I’m bullish, just not YOLO-bullish.

I spent a week dissecting Bitcoin’s shaky push to $105k, and the momentum math just isn’t adding up. With RSI fading, open interest sliding, and that stubborn $109k ceiling, Captain Faibik’s $92–94k correction call looks eerily plausible. I’m trimming leverage, buying cheap downside protection, and setting stink bids—but I’m also ready to flip bullish if $109k breaks with volume. Bitcoin keeps us humble.

XRP hype is back, but the burden of proof sits with the chart and Ripple’s unresolved SEC battle. I dissect the optimistic $25 Elliott-Wave roadmap, spotlight rising perp leverage, and flag sneaky whale transfers. My take: watch $2.60 on a weekly close. Above it, $5 is realistic; below $1.75, winter returns. Hedge or be ready to eat a 25% wick.

Open interest just collapsed 91%, Bitcoin lost its $105K channel, and funding’s flipped negative. I’m not buying the ‘Middle East panic’ excuse — on-chain data shows old whales finally unloading. My eyes are on $94K, with $88K as a worst-case wick. Until BTC reclaims $108.5K with conviction, I’m staying defensive and keeping powder dry.

Binance just switched on an inheritance feature, letting users auto-pass coins to heirs after a set period of inactivity. I’ve seen failed versions of this idea since 2017, but the market’s finally mature enough—and institutional enough—to care. Expect copycat moves, regulatory chatter, and a liquidity bump that could nudge Bitcoin toward $85k next year. More importantly, it’s one less excuse for leaving your spouse with an unusable Ledger.

I dove into Treasury papers, spoke with lawyers and market-makers, and crunched on-chain stats to confirm it: Australia still taxes every crypto disposal. Swaps, wraps, even NFTs are capital-gains events, and the ATO is now sweeping data on 1.2 million users. It’s annoying, but at least the rules are clear—time to tidy those wallets.

Dogecoin’s funding rate has surged to 0.0092%, eclipsing Bitcoin and Ethereum. That means traders are paying top dollar to stay long, signalling aggressive leverage. History shows such spikes can precede either euphoric rallies or brutal liquidations. I’m cautiously optimistic but strapping on seat belts—this could get wild fast.

Bitcoin slipped below $64k after a BOJ rate hike triggered a 3,100-BTC sell wall, and derivatives funding flipped negative. On-chain data shows long-term holders unfazed, hinting at a leverage flush, not a tech failure. Watch funding, stablecoin inflows, and Mt. Gox timelines before making rash moves.

A HyperLiquid whale flipped from a $10 million win to a $2.5 million hole as Bitcoin dipped below $66k. I dug through on-chain data, funding rates, and flash-crash mechanics to see how it unraveled. The episode underlines thin DEX liquidity and leverage contagion right before the halving. Take the lessons—ditch the schadenfreude.

PEPE, SPX6900, and Fartcoin all face double-digit drops after whales nuke their bags amid geopolitical jitters. Some in the community view it as a clearance sale; others call it a final warning. On-chain data shows liquidity rotating, not fleeing, suggesting the meme game isn’t over—just playing hard mode. Stay nimble, watch wallets, and remember: memes move with collective belief.

Coinbase just confirmed it will sponsor the U.S. Army’s 250th-anniversary parade, instantly reigniting the ‘sell-out’ debate inside crypto. COIN slipped in after-hours, and 6,400 BTC flowed off the exchange in protest. I see a savvy D.C. chess move colliding with cypherpunk culture shock. Watch the options volatility and on-chain outflows—this story’s barely started.

Pi Network enters Q2 with 127 million tokens set to unlock, a drooping RSI near oversold, and institutional desks basically ghosting the pair. Unless the foundation delays supply or fast-tracks its mainnet, the numbers point toward a retest of the $0.40 all-time low—maybe even $0.34. Keep stops tight, emotions tighter, and remember that liquidity is the one metric you can’t fake.

Bitcoin just steamrolled past 64% market dominance, wrecking the ‘altseason any day now’ story. Institutional inflows and looming altcoin unlocks mean BTC keeps soaking up liquidity. Some analysts still think alts will wake up once dominance stalls, but that 65% ceiling is in striking distance. Right now, ignoring Bitcoin’s gravitational pull feels reckless.

A phantom $104K sell wall flashed on Bitcoin’s order book overnight, reviving the classic spoofing playbook I’ve seen since 2013. While bids below $97K remain sturdy, rising leverage and options positioning hint at a volatility squeeze ahead of year-end ETF hype. My stance? Keep powder dry, watch CVDD near $91K, and never trust a ghost wall.

XRP looks primed for a final dip into the $1.88–$1.92 zone, closing a glaring liquidity gap from May’s flash crash. If that inverse head-and-shoulders completes, classic pattern math points to $3.50+—but only after Bitcoin dominance peaks and leveraged alts get flushed. I’m layering bids in the high $1.80s while accepting the uncomfortable truth: the market rarely hands out perfect entries.

SUI slipped under $3, yet on-chain data, a textbook falling wedge, and whale accumulation hint the rally isn’t over. Holding $2.80 keeps the $5 target alive; lose it and $2.33 beckons. June’s weekly closes will decide whether we’re early dip-buyers or impatient bag-holders.

SOL has collapsed 13% and is now sitting on a chunky on-chain support band at $145-147 that holds 13M tokens. Funding is negative, retail wallets are bailing, but big validators haven’t flinched. If this level breaks, $130 is the next soft landing; if it holds, $155-157 resistance is the obvious target. I’m cautiously nibbling but ready to bail if whales blink.

Ethereum’s flirting with $2,500 again, and plenty of analysts see a clean breakout to $4K once the 50-week EMA falls. I’m not so sure. Staking growth, ETF hype, and historical charts look bullish, but faster withdrawals, macro headwinds, and lurking supply shocks keep my guard up. I’ve got a small position and big skepticism.

All 20 assets in CoinDesk’s benchmark index slipped overnight, with bitcoin down 0.2% and litecoin lagging at −0.4%. The across-the-board red hints at macro jitters ahead of key U.S. data. Funding rates are easing, liquidity is thin, and a CME gap at $33.9k looms. Traders are cautious, not panicked—yet.